International energy agency, world energy outlook 2017 era of oil is not yet over change in global oil demand by sector if tight oil plateaus 2020s and nonopec production growth as a whole slows, reliance on the middle east grows and the need for largescale oil investment continues, even with electric cars. Nov 18, 2010 updated projections of energy demand, production, trade and investment, fuel by fuel and region by region to 2035 are provided in the 2010 edition of the world energy outlook weo. Published every year based on objective data and dispassionate analysis, the world energy outlook weo provides critical analysis and insights on trends in energy demand and supply, and what they mean for energy security, environmental protection and economic development the first weo was published in 1977 and it has been an annual publication since 1998. In evennumbered years, weo presents detailed projections of energy demand, production, trade and investment, fuel by fuel and region by region. At the press conference, nobuo tanaka, executive director of the iea, began by saying that recent events have cast an. Critical assessment of the ieas world energy outlook 2010. At the press conference, nobuo tanaka, executive director of the iea, began by saying that recent events have cast an veil of uncertainty over our energy future. This year it dealt with caspian energy, energy poverty and energy subsidies. Based on scenarios, these projections compare what will happen if policies remain the same and what might happen if policies were improved. They provide a comprehensive view on energy production, transformation and final use.
It is rewritten annually to reflect the world s changing energy and economy realities. Questionable assumptions and major omissions posted by gail the actuary on november, 2010 10. The european commission also participates in the work of the iea. Commitments have also been made by the g20 and apec to. Energy and climate change world energy outlook special report. Eias international energy outlook 2017 ieo2017 presents an assessment of longterm world energy markets. Middle east demand almost doubles, to a level similar to chinas in 2035, and demand in india in 2035 is four times that of today. Nobuo tanaka executive director, international energy agency fatih birol chief economist, international energy agency richard h. Jones deputy executive director, international energy agency the world appears to be emerging from the worst economic crisis in decades. Three of the thousands of numbers in the world energy outlook 2010, despite their disparity, are worth putting alongside each other. Pdf the energy revolution 2010 scenario is an update of the energy. World energy outlook 2010 international energy agency. Gas is set to play a key role in meeting the worlds energy needs.
The international energy agency iea, an autonomous agency, was established in november 1974. World energy outlook 2010 center for strategic and. The world energy outlook series is a leading source of strategic insight on the future of energy and energy related emissions, providing detailed scenarios that map out the consequences of different energy policy and investment choices. The world energy outlook series is a leading source of strategic insight. The implications of a possible delay in oil and gas sector investment. Reference case projections in each edition of the ieo are not predictions of what is most likely to happen. Oecdiea 2010 recent policy commitments, if implemented, would make a difference global energy use grows by 36%, with nonoecd countries led by china, where demand surges by 75% accounting for almost all of the increase world primary energy demand by region in the new policies scenario 0 2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 10 000 12 000 14 000 16. Energy information administration eia of the outlook for international energy markets through 2035. These issues and many more are discussed here, with a special focus on india accompanying the customary, indepth weo analysis of the prospects for all fossil fuels, renewables, the power sector and energy efficiency around the world to 2040. World energy outlook 2010 the world appears to be emerging from the worst economic crisis in decades. Iea 2010 world energy outlook 2011 outlook 2012 outlook.
Commitments have also been made by the g20 and apec to phase out inefficient fossilfuel subsidies. Updated projections of energy demand, production, trade and investment, fuel by fuel and region by region to 2035 are provided in the 2010 edition of the world energy outlook. The value of the outlook is not in trying to predict the future. The aggregated flow other is removed from the database.
Iea world energy outlook 2010a comment request pdf. Critical assessment of the ieas world energy outlook 2010 article in development and change 431. The world energy outlook series is a leading source of strategic insight on the future of energy and energyrelated emissions, providing detailed scenarios that map out the consequences of different energy policy and investment choices this years edition updates the outlooks for all fuels, technologies and regions, based on the latest market data, policy initiatives and cost trends. Fatih birol, chief economist of the international energy agency iea designed and directed the study which was prepared by the iea s directorate of global energy economics of the international energy agency and other offices of the agency.
This report could not have been completed without collaboration from the international energy agency iea and, notably, the guidance from tim gould and his colleagues on the world energy outlook team. Nov 09, 2010 iea world energy outlook 2010 now out. It is rewritten annually to reflect the worlds changing energy and economy realities. Five years after the ieas first special report on africa, we return to take an indepth look at africas energy sector, with two prominent features. The international energy agencys annual energy projections. Nov 10, 2015 these issues and many more are discussed here, with a special focus on india accompanying the customary, indepth weo analysis of the prospects for all fossil fuels, renewables, the power sector and energy efficiency around the world to 2040. Governments offer little support to energy firms by scott hodge in advance of the g20 meeting in seoul, the international energy agency iea released its annual world energy outlook, a 738page analysis of the global energy market. Traditional use of biomass dominates the energy mix. Energy information administration eia, the statistical and analytical agency within the u. Investment in power infrastructures among the lowest in the world. Pdf energy revolution 2010 a sustainable world energy outlook. The international energy agency iea today launched its eagerly awaited world energy outlook 2010 at the hotel crowne plaza hotel in london.
Government publication, international government publication, internet resource. Energy revolution 2010 a sustainable world energy outlook. World energy outlook 2011 international energy forum. Ieas 2010 report and the outlook for peak oil nov 10. What if we reflect todays policy intentions and targets. Updated projections of energy demand, production, trade and.
In the efficient world scenario, energy intensity will improve by around 3% per year, a stepup from current levels, resulting in minimal increases in energy demand, despite the global economy doubling. It includes, for the first time, a new scenario that anticipates future actions by governments to meet the commitments they have made to tackle climate change and. The 2005 edition presents a detailed assessment of energy prospects throughout the middle east and north africa region and the implications of these for. Organisation for economic cooperation and development boxid ia1756712. That is the question asked by the international energy agency on page 48 of the introduction to their world energy outlook 2010, launched on 9 november 2010. It includes, for the first time, a new scenario that anticipates future actions by governments to meet the commitments they have made to tackle climate change and growing energy insecurity. World energy scenarios 10 key messages 1 energy system complexity will increase by 2050.
This years edition updates the outlooks for all fuels, technologies and regions, based on the latest market. Will peak oil be the guest or the spectre at the feast. Any such attempt is doomed to fail the uncertainty surrounding the energy transition is here to stay. Many countries have made pledges under the copenhagen accord to reduce greenhouse. This is the stated policies scenario steps what if we meet sustainable energy goals in full. Updated projections of energy demand, production, trade and investment, fuel by fuel and region by region to 2035 are provided in the 2010 edition of the world energy outlook weo. World energy outlook 2010 food climate research network. Global energy demand increases by onethird from 2010 to 2035, with china.
Database documentation 2019 edition 5 international energy agency flows a new industry sector aggregate manufacturing has been added. More than 40 years after the international energy agency iea. The world energy outlook series is a leading source of strategic. The oil drum iea world energy outlook 2010 now out. Energy revolution 2010a sustainable world energy outlook. The international energy agency iea was established in 1974 to promote energy security and provide authoritative analysis on energy for its member countries and beyond. The world energy outlook series is a leading source of strategic insight on the future of energy and energyrelated emissions, providing detailed scenarios that map out the consequences of different energy policy and investment choices. Many countries have made pledges under the copenhagen accord to reduce greenhousegas emissions. The international energy outlook 2010 ieo2010 presents an assessment by the u. Iea 2017 world energy outlook to 2040 current policies cp new policies np sustainable development sd ieej 2017 outlook to 2050 advanced technology at reference bp 2018 energy outlook to 2040 evolving transition et cepsa 2017 energy outlook 2030 reference exxon 2018 outlook for energy. To accommodate this change, the industry subsectors have been reordered. Iea world energy outlook 2010a comment sciencedirect.
Energy statistics have always been and remain at the heart of the work of the iea. The iea has been criticised for systematically underestimating the role of renewable energy sources in future energy systems such as photovoltaics and their cost reductions ahead of the launch of the 2009 world energy outlook, the british daily newspaper the guardian, referring to an unidentified senior iea official, alleged that the agency was deliberately downplaying the risk of peak oil. What if the world continues on its current path, with no additional changes. The iea carries out a comprehensive programme of energy cooperation among its member countries. Each edition tends to have a particular geographical or policy focus.
The weo 2009 edition has a lower global final energy demand in 2030 in comparison to the 2007 edition. The world appears to be emerging from the worst economic crisis in decades. The projections in this outlook were based on energy balances provided by the iea. World primary energy demand by region in the new policies scenario 0 2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 10 000 12 000 14 000 16 000 18 000 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 oe rest of world china. The ieo2017 is the first ed ition of this report to include mo del results through 2050, which are available on the ieo page of the eia website. The iea demonstrate this themselves clearly in their. The detailed projections are generated by the world energy model, a largescale simulation tool, developed at the iea over a period of more than 20 years that is designed to replicate how energy markets function. More than 40 years after the international energy agency iea published the first edition of the world energy outlook, the reports overarching aim remains the same to. This years energy outlook provides fresh insight into these trends and many more. Key wordl energy stastti ics connaissance des energies. For the 2010 update of the energy revolution scenario, including the advanced version, the graus and blomen analysis has been reconfigured using the latest iea statistics from world energy outlook 2009 iea 2009a. Eia, international energy outlook 2017 6 32% 31% 15% 15% 12% 3% 10% %400 3% 14% 25%. The world energy outlook 2010 is a comprehensive energy report issued by the iea.
802 1545 721 617 849 1205 746 543 264 283 696 617 353 172 92 1488 1409 158 1459 506 1051 1215 1153 591 1048 1195 145 468 1001 338 826